It's Always About Expected Profit

---> Meaning the Fed, like the rest of us, doesn't know and will be following market-driven rates (chart). The view that central..

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It's Always About Expected Profit

07/30/2014 14:48:00 PM

---> Meaning the Fed, like the rest of us, doesn't know and will be following market-driven rates (chart). The view that central bankers - including the Fed control the global economy through its short-term interest rate policy is laughable. Wheth

Human Behavior Means Crash and Burn Inevitable

07/30/2014 08:35:00 AM

--->The game of life, driven by human behavior that includes the stock market, is all about timing. Human behavior means everything, regardless of the definition of money, centralized control, technology etc., trends towards chaos. That is, all sys

US, Europe impose tough new sanctions on Russia

07/30/2014 07:02:00 AM

---> The West, most likely eager to distraction ahead of the economic downturn or simply foolish, a coin toss at this point, have widen their sanctions by targeting select areas of finance, defense, and energy of the Russian economy. The European Uni

Review of Cotton

07/30/2014 07:00:00 AM

CottonTraders reinforced by expectations of global economic contraction, thus, falling demand for cotton and a well defined downtrend have been chasing weakness for months. This has pushed cotton to levels not seen in years.

Study: 35 percent in US facing debt collectors

07/29/2014 07:40:00 AM

--->JonesesIn a world committed to financial illiteracy and keeping up with the Joneses (probably better recognized as the Kardashians today), extreme debt burdens across all sectors of the economy should be expected. What's not expected, what must

Review of Crude Oil

07/29/2014 07:00:00 AM

Crude oilCrude oil, confined within a trading range since 2011, has confounded both bulls and bears (chart 1). The perma-bulls which generally ignore cycles with leveraged money flows have been increasingly frustrated by oil's inability to close abo

The Only Things Being Dumped Are Common Sense and Investment Discipline

07/29/2014 07:00:00 AM

Common SenseThe easy conclusions provided by headlines (see below), like security flaws found by forensic scientist in nearly every operating system, are simply too prevalent and stupid to be mistakes.

Review of US Treasury Bonds

07/28/2014 08:07:00 AM

US TBondsTraders trying to time a downturn in US Treasury bonds should be following the distribution of leverage in the Japanese Yen. Show ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional

Review of US Gold

07/28/2014 07:18:00 AM

GoldBull markets rally against all currencies - not just U.S. dollar, Euro, Yen, etc. Gold rallied against all major currencies until 2011. Increasing safe haven flows into the U.S. dollar has accelerated the decline of gold priced in major currenci

Review of Copper

07/28/2014 07:00:00 AM

CopperCopper, a base metal with widespread commercial and consumer applications, often turns ahead of the economy. This tendency to lead, the reason why copper is described as having a PhD in economics, is illustrated by its trend oscillators (chart

Review of Gold and Gold Shares

07/24/2014 16:07:00 PM

Mr. SpockShow ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis will be

Headlines Missed The Shift In Capital Flow Attempt to Explain Them

07/24/2014 07:00:00 AM

--->Small cap stocks after posting extreme relative concentration have underperformed their large cap counterparts as expected.

The Battle Between Bullish and Bearish Sentiment

07/24/2014 06:17:00 AM

--->A normalize reading of sentiment towards stocks, an measure of individual investor optimism/pessimism about the short-term direction of stock prices, fell to lowest reading since April 2014. Those looking for 'easy explanation' only need to the

Review of Gold

07/23/2014 11:02:00 AM

--->Pants DownTraders recognize that a downside break of the 45 degree trendlines introduce bearish chasers into the trend. An upside breakout of the -45 degree trendline from the 2011 high has the opposite effect.

Review of Natural Gas

07/23/2014 07:00:00 AM

Natural GasNatural gas prices continued their slide as cooler-than-normal temperatures have extended into July and are expected into August. Forecast calls for continued mild temperatures, 10 to 15 degrees below normal to extend across much of the US

Review of Nasdaq Composite

07/23/2014 06:26:00 AM

--->Nasdaq Composite jumped the creek of resistance (07/08 gap) yesterday on contracting volume (chart); its propensity to lead the broader market increases the importance of this jump. Normally a close above resistance on contracting volume (withou

Path of Least Resistance in US Stocks

07/22/2014 14:57:00 PM

---> While the path of least resistance is down, it doesn't mean that the long-awaited and ill-timed bear market has begun.

Blindly Follow the Fed's Intentions and Forecasts at Your Own Risk

07/22/2014 07:00:00 AM

--->Blindly follow the Fed's intentions and forecasts at your own risk. Central banks, insightful and smart, did not ascend to their positions because of their ability to time the movement of capital and markets. Central bankers made similar cautio

Merging Fiction with Fact

07/22/2014 05:19:00 AM

--->Humans are notoriously short-term orientated in terms of actions and memories. While the world tries to merge fiction with fact in the MH17 crash to benefit their agendas, don't expect may to acknowledge similar mistakes made in the past. It ma

Review of US Stocks

07/21/2014 07:00:00 AM

--->US stock rally which has consistently ignored bearish expectations for years have produced only five corrections since 2011. These corrections are defined as negative readings in long-term close oscillator (LTCO) within general trend of positive

Review of US Stocks

07/17/2014 14:40:00 PM

--->Fear-inducing headlines which injected even more supply to a supply-driven trend did not create it. The path of least resistance turned down last week.

Ego Removed Discretion A Long Time Ago

07/17/2014 12:02:00 PM

--->The US, despite a general lack of leverage with its allies for obvious reasons, threatens sanctions against Russia.

Review of Cotton

07/17/2014 07:00:00 AM

CottonThe probability that natural oscillation of money flows or phase had transitioned from bull to bear increased when cotton's diffusion index (DI) closed below -60% in February 2013 (chart 2); cotton's DI generated a low of -84%. Technical confir

The Majority Blindly Chases While Laughing At Dogs

07/17/2014 06:47:00 AM

---> Dog Chasing TailIf you think only dogs are 'stupidity' enough to chase their tails (or cars), you'd likely be embarrassed that humans display a similar tendency. The tendency to chase, jump on bandwagons of greed and fear during rallies and de

Review of US Treasury Bonds

07/17/2014 06:46:00 AM

--->Counter trend rally continues until the 45 degree up trend from the 2014 low is broken to the downside.

FUBAR leads to Crisis and Opportunity

07/16/2014 16:46:00 PM

---> And then what? Elect a new breed of ego less and practically educated leaders to manage the six new states, or succumb to career leaders FUBAR-ing up six local economies instead of one? This game is all about timing.The Chinese use the same wo

Playing The Game Despite Its Flaws

07/16/2014 13:54:00 PM

Federal Budget & DebtGenerations of Americans, if they care, know no other government than one that runs structural deficits. Yet we play the game - endless speeches, elections, kissing babies, shaking hands, and lessons to children as if not only t

Expect Confusion Even If History Repeats

07/16/2014 08:00:00 AM

--->Those that believe that the Fed's models drive anything more than CYA policies designed to mitigate the consequences of confidence breaks haven't studied history. The Fed, despite media claims to the contrary and following market forces, will mo

Review of Corn

07/16/2014 07:00:00 AM

CornThe probability that natural oscillation of money flows or phase had transitioned from bear to bull increased when corn's diffusion index (DI) closed above 60% in November 2013 (chart 2).

Sentiment Towards Stocks Mildly Optimistic

07/16/2014 06:24:00 AM

---> Other sentiment measures, mostly market driven ones, don't support the claim of dangerous and excessive optimism towards stocks.

Applying Domestic View to Global Markets

07/15/2014 08:56:00 AM

--->'The indicator' doesn't exist. Global markets which are driven by simultaneous global money flows, the self-interests of all participants, can't be captured by one indicator. Main street has only just begun to pile-in. Headline: The indicat

Defying Bearish Expectations For US Stocks

07/15/2014 08:44:00 AM

Investors must be prepared for a US stock rally that defies bearish expectations for years (chart). Bull or bear markets are never a straight line move. That would be too easily.

Review of Gold

07/15/2014 07:22:00 AM

GoldAnalysis that consistently employs the term 'manipulation' in its interpretation of price is opinion.

Review of Wheat

07/15/2014 07:00:00 AM

WheatThe probability that natural oscillation of money flows or phase had transitioned from bull to bear increased when wheat's diffusion index (DI) fell below -60% on 04/08 (chart 2).

Individuals Pile Into Stocks as Pros Say Bull Is Spent

07/15/2014 07:00:00 AM

---> While some 'pros' urge investors to sell, others know that increasing public participation could drive stocks to unbelievable heights in the coming months/years. The public which missed most of the 2009 rally has only just begun to 'believe'.

Review of NYSE Composite

07/14/2014 08:02:00 AM

--->The path of least resistance may be down, but REV(E)'s high low relative to price says the counter trend move lacks force. This is the picture of profit-taking.

Review of Gold and Gold Shares

07/14/2014 07:00:00 AM

Show ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis will be revealed by a

Diffusion Charts Updated 07/08/14

07/14/2014 07:00:00 AM

--->Diffusion Index Charts

COT Matrix Updated 07/08/14 Including Trend Oscillators

07/14/2014 06:52:00 AM

--->Updates now include trend oscillators to help define the trend. Not all markets are reported. ITCO and LTCO, one of many mathematical representations of direction, define intermediate- and long-term trend. The intermediate trend, more sensiti

COT Matrix Updated 07/08/14

07/12/2014 07:40:00 AM

--->COT Matrix 07/08/14 ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis wi

Review of Gold Shares and Gold

07/11/2014 07:51:00 AM

Show ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis will be revealed by a

Review of Cotton

07/11/2014 07:31:00 AM

Cotton's trend defined by its ITCO and LTCO trend oscillators have been down since May 2014.

Review of Commercial Banking Trends

07/11/2014 07:00:00 AM

There’s an old saying that you can lead a horse to water, but you cannot make it drink. The American household has been lead to the waters of cheap credit, but they've been reluctant to drink it since 2007. Steadily deterioration in real estate (3

Falling Sentiment Towards Stocks Bullish

07/11/2014 07:00:00 AM

--->Falling sentiment towards stocks is bullish. Concentrated pessimism generates a buy signal. Chart: SP 500 and Normalized American Association of Individual Investors Sentiment Survey Bulls As % of Bulls and Bears ---------------------------

Interconnectivity of Markets Helps Time Coming Bear Phase In Bonds

07/10/2014 07:14:00 AM

---> The bullish phase for US Treasury bonds is closer to the end than beginning. This realization which runs contrary to human behavior of following the crowd comes as the path of least resistance

Measuring Too Fast and Far for US Stocks

07/10/2014 07:00:00 AM

Phase TransitionToo fast and far, or extreme concentration in short to very short-term cycles, exists even within accelerating trends. Investors should follow concentration of shorter-term cycles (A, C1, and C2), emphasis on very short-term cycles a

U.S. Stock-Index Futures Drop After Bullard’s Comments

07/10/2014 06:01:00 AM

--->While The path of least resistance is down over the short-term, it will most likely be used as an buying opportunity by investors seeking safety from public sector debt failure. Headline: U.S. Stock-Index Futures Drop After Bullard’s Comment

Review of US Treasury Bonds

07/09/2014 07:20:00 AM

--->Shrinking volume into resistance suggests waning upside force within a bearish or soon bearish bond phase. Chart: US Treasury Bonds ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, mar

Review of US Volatility

07/09/2014 07:00:00 AM

Low volatility often lingers for months/years before an 'external shock' sends it unexpectedly higher (chart 1). Investors confused by the message of the market - applying knowledge obtained in the previous cycle to improperly interpret the present

Review of US Stocks

07/09/2014 06:58:00 AM

---> Path of Least ResistanceThe violation of support(7/1 gap) on increasing volume reflects expanding downside force. Expanding downside force suggests the following: (1) the path of least resistance has changed from up to down at least over the sh

Diffusion Charts Updated 07/01/14

07/08/2014 15:33:00 PM

--->Diffusion Index Charts

Recognizing White-Hot Trends

07/08/2014 08:00:00 AM

Traders generally chasing 'can't lose propositions' often push price or relative prices to extreme concentration.

COT Matrix Updated 07/01/14

07/08/2014 07:00:00 AM

--->COT Matrix 07/01/14 ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis wi

Economic Bears Will Be Criticized For Bad Timing

07/08/2014 07:00:00 AM

--->The economic bulls are pounding their chest about unexpected strength, while the bears are growling about numbers and assumptions don't make sense.

Lagarde Hints at Global Forecast Cut Even as U.S. Rebounds

07/07/2014 07:09:00 AM

--->Will they hint about a global forecast increase when the economy rebounds unexpectedly in 2014/2015? Probably. Follow the message of the market and ignore 'forecasts'. Headline: Lagarde Hints at Global Forecast Cut Even as U.S. Rebounds In

Review of Gold and Gold Shares

07/07/2014 07:00:00 AM

The juniors to majors ratio (JMR) is a relative money flow tool that defines risk appetite within precious metals. Show ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven mon

Technical Analysis Without Opinion

07/07/2014 07:00:00 AM

Insight readers are likely interested in forming their own voice/interpretation of the trend through use of technical analysis (TA). This skill has been described by many as both a science and art form.

Long Term Charts Updated

07/07/2014 07:00:00 AM

--->Updated Through June 2014 Composite Timing Indicator Long Term Equity Charts Long Term Bond Charts Long Term Commodity Charts Gold to Silver Ratio Seasonality ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights su

Long Term Charts Updated

07/05/2014 07:00:00 AM

--->Updated Through June 2014 Composite Timing Indicator Long Term Equity Charts Seasonality ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket

Holiday Offer: Received A Key From July to December For $50 Single or $20 Linked

07/04/2014 07:00:00 AM

Holiday OfferReceive a key from July to December for $50 for single or $20 for linked donations through July 7th.For example, if friends John and Jim donate $20 each with a note linking their names and donations, both will receive a key from July to

Payrolls Jumped as U.S. Jobless Rate Fell to 6.1% in June

07/03/2014 09:00:00 AM

---> Labor ReportThe message of the market, federal budget, labor, lumber trends as so on, has been saying that economic bears' message of an imminent recession is wrong.

Long Term Charts Updated

07/03/2014 08:27:00 AM

--->Updated Through June 2014 Composite Timing Indicator Long Term Equity Charts ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis w

Review of Retail Stocks

07/03/2014 07:21:00 AM

---> Retail SalesThe bears, growling about deterioration behind the trend, see the underperformance of key leadership groups as dire warnings for stocks and the economy. While they're right about deterioration, they're wrong about its influence on t

Why business is leaving California for Texas

07/03/2014 07:00:00 AM

---> Jumping/MigrationBusinesses, households, and individuals, following a long-standing and universal self-interest of profit or savings maximization, are jumping from areas of high to low taxation. It's only a matter of time before high tax zones,

Review of Gasoline

07/03/2014 07:00:00 AM

GasolineGasoline following strength in crude oil is trading near all-time highs as well (chart 1).The bulls are also convinced that surging oil prices and the crisis in Iraq have placed a floor under price.

Startling News If Living Under a Rock Since 1913

07/03/2014 07:00:00 AM

---> Under a RockThose that follow the self-interests of the invisible hand know that the central banks monetary policies have been outdated for a long time. The Fed used to directly stimulated the economy and job creation through direct purchases

Updating Long Term Charts

07/02/2014 08:48:00 AM

--->Updated Through June 2014 Composite Timing Indicator ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insigh

Holiday Offer: Received A Key From July to December For $50 Single or $20 Linked

07/02/2014 07:00:00 AM

Holiday OfferReceive a key from July to December for $50 for single or $20 for linked donations through July 7th.For example, if friends John and Jim donate $20 each with a note linking their names and donations, both will receive a key from July to

Review of Gold Shares

07/02/2014 06:17:00 AM

Gold SharesA bearish down tick (O stack) maintains a count of three (chart 1). Bearish down ticks suggest risk-aversion and outflows from precious metals at least over the short-term. As long as the rally (within a larger cause building phase) is ma

Review of Crude Oil

07/02/2014 05:36:00 AM

Crude OilWTI trading near all-time highs has emboldened the chasers (chart 1).

Kool-Aid Man Says Follow the Money

07/01/2014 14:26:00 PM

Kool-AidHeadlines, besides being unbelievable predictable, usually contain highly dubious interpretations.

Review of US Stocks

07/01/2014 07:41:00 AM

---> US StocksThe number of experts seeing "bumpy road ahead" continues to grow the longer stocks rally.

Review of Cotton

07/01/2014 07:00:00 AM

---> Negative trend oscillators indicate the bears control the trend (chart).

Holiday Offer: Received A Key From July to December For $50 Single or $20 Linked Donation

06/30/2014 07:31:00 AM

Holiday OfferReceive a key from July to December for $50 for single or $20 for linked donations through July 7th.For example, if friends John and Jim donate $20 each with a note linking their names and donations, both will receive a key from July to

Review of the Australian Dollar

06/30/2014 07:00:00 AM

Aussie DollarCOT Matrix followers know that the A$ rally was preceded or setup by a series of strong bullish setups from December 2013 to March 2014. This concentration illustrated an 'unbalanced' downtrend (and market) and accumulation by the invis

Review of Silver

06/30/2014 06:50:00 AM

SilverSilver's surge above $20 generated a bullish crossover in its trend oscillators last week (chart 1).

Diffusion Charts Updated 06/24/14

06/28/2014 15:43:00 PM

Silver chart corrected and updated through 6/24.

Review of the Gold Shares

06/28/2014 07:46:00 AM

Show ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis will be revealed by a

Diffusion Charts Updated 06/24/14

06/27/2014 15:59:00 PM

--->Diffusion Index Charts

COT Matrix Updated 06/24/14

06/27/2014 15:36:00 PM

--->COT Matrix 06/24/14 ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis wi

Review of Dow Transports

06/27/2014 08:29:00 AM

--->If previous resistance acts as support, it increases the probability of an accelerating trend. Accelerating trends can lead to extreme concentration. Chart: Dow Jones Transportation Average ------------------------------------- As a speci

Seasonality of Stocks, Bonds, Precious Metals, and Gold Stocks

06/27/2014 06:52:00 AM

---> April through September usually displays positive relative returns for gold

Review of NYSE Composite

06/26/2014 10:34:00 AM

--->Short-term downtrends in the REV(E), marked by red arrows, highlight periods of profit-taking in US equities. Traders use these periods to enter or reenter the up trend if money flow and cycles support continuation of the rally. Chart: NYSE C

Review of Gold Shares

06/26/2014 07:47:00 AM

Gold SharesTraders must continue screening out opinions to derive the message of the market. That message, technically speaking, is neither bullish or bearish. Show ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal In

Review of Lumber

06/26/2014 07:00:00 AM

LumberNegative trend oscillators contained and a well-defined downtrend (PDT) have defined a bearish phase since late 2013.

Stocks Rally In The Face of Doubt

06/26/2014 06:06:00 AM

---> IndecisivenessThe rising stock trend is slowly turning bears into bulls.

Review of Small Cap Stocks

06/25/2014 10:35:00 AM

Smalll Cap StocksEach hiccup within the trend introduces worry, concern, and revitalizes the bearish arguments. For example, what if last week's bullish crossover fails to support leveraged money flows

Review of Coffee

06/25/2014 07:00:00 AM

--->CoffeeCoffee's oscillators indicate a downtrend since mid May.

Bear of Unintended Consequences

06/25/2014 06:33:00 AM

---> Laws designed with "good intentions" but ignore the force driving capital formation will without a doubt generate unintended consequences that reduced competition, employment, and capacity utilization. It's only a matter of time. A new law de

Review of US Treasury Bonds

06/24/2014 07:00:00 AM

BondsCounter trend rally, slowing at resistance, remains in tact until the 45 degree up trend (blue box) is broken to the downside.

The rich get richer as stock buybacks surge

06/24/2014 06:44:00 AM

--->Corporate buybacks which always increase as stocks prices surge suggest nothing other than predictability of human behavior. Do the rich get richer as stock buyback collapse during the inevitable decline after extreme concentration? Follow the

Review of NYSE Composite

06/24/2014 06:37:00 AM

---> US StocksUS stocks defying bearish expectations form months, like the energizer bunny, keep going and going.

Obama moves to save the honey bees, targets pesticides

06/23/2014 07:45:00 AM

---> A serious issue that's now introducing people that seriously know nothing about science, bees, and/or entomology. Reports of colony disorder disease, referred to disappearing syndrome years ago, predate commercial pesticide use.

Review of Soybeans

06/23/2014 07:00:00 AM

COT analysis defined all trends through the use of trend oscillators.

Review of Gold Shares

06/23/2014 06:30:00 AM

Show ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis will be revealed by a

Review of Crude Oil

06/21/2014 08:00:00 AM

Escalating tension in Iraq have sent West Texas Intermediate Crude (WTI) above $107.

Diffusion Charts Updated 06/17/14

06/21/2014 05:05:00 AM

--->Diffusion Index Charts

COT Matrix Updated 06/17/14

06/21/2014 05:00:00 AM

--->COT Matrix 06/17/14 ------------------------------------- As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis wi

Follow the Leaders

06/20/2014 08:17:00 AM

--->Transportation stocks set to lead until 2015. Dow Jones Transports (DJTA)/US American Railroad Stocks Prior 1914 and Dow Industrials (DJIA) and DJTA to DJIA Ratio Cycle Z Scores (DJTAC3and4) ------------------------------------- As a specia

Commodities Follow Supply/Demand and Their Own Cycles

06/20/2014 07:00:00 AM

---> Some will suggest that surging meat, poultry, fish and other barbecue items (commodity prices) foreshadows rising inflation and higher precious metals prices in the near future. Commodities driven by supply and demand follow their own cycles. I

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