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Published on 2012-02-23 19:34:00
Tweet I just wanted to give everyone a heads up on what is going on. It has been a while since I posted here because I am doing a lot of "live updating" on other social networks where it is easier to connect to people instantly. I write on here for FULL detailed reports when a system is approaching or a topic I think needs explaining. To join me and everyone for instant weather updates, please use the following links below: NJ Weather Blogs Facebook Fan Page: Click here to join the NJ Weat [..] > read more
Sunday Snow A No Go
Published on 2012-02-18 00:14:00
Tweet Well I had a nice long detailed blog and somehow it never saved and it is lost forever. So, you will now get a shortened version on my thoughts for this weekend storm possibility. Teleconnections: First up we have the NAO. The NAO has not been our friend all winter and will continue not to be our friend. The NAO is in a positive state with no blocking HIGH to our North. There is a somewhat of a 50/50 LOW that is trying to act as a block but it is being overrun by the Nort [..] > read more
President's Day Weekend Storm
Published on 2012-02-16 12:51:00
Tweet We may just have our first MAJOR storm of the winter upon us. It has been a bumpy ride the last few days tracking this system and the models have been battling it out on where this LOW will set up and who is going to be the big winner in this upcoming weekend storm... Teleconnections: I always like to review the teleconnections before we get into the meat of everything else. I am a little concerned about the NAO being in a positive state. The NAO being in a positive sta [..] > read more
End of the Week Storm?
Published on 2012-02-14 19:19:00
Tweet This is going to be a quick overview on what may happen at the end of this weekend (Sunday). I am not going to get too involved just yet, just a brief overview on what the models are showing. We are still 5 days away from this system and its already flipped flopped a few times with more flipping and flopping to continue.. What Is It? Here is the system down in the Gulf gaining all the energy and getting ready to head up the coast. The red arrow is the general track on what the l [..] > read more
Final Snow Map 2-11-12
Published on 2012-02-10 17:36:00
Tweet This is a very tough storm to pinpoint the exact totals that New Jersey will see but this is my general thinking at this time. The arctic air is not in place and the surface temps are in the 40's today which will hurt the beginnings of this storm and will knock down those snow totals. Most of the snow in the beginning will be melting on impact and further South you go, mixing and rain will play a big factor. A change over to all snow won't happen to early Saturday morning and by [..] > read more
Snow Storm Round 2
Published on 2012-02-09 18:12:00
Tweet A rare occurrance this winter with two snow events in the same week! For those who are snow deprived this winter, this storm looks to be the strongest we had since the Halloween snow storm. But there is a lot at play here and this is going to be a difficult storm to predict with a lot of moving parts so I am going to try my best to touch on all the major parts and show you what to expect this Saturday. Teleconnections: Above are three key elements that will play [..] > read more
Mid-Week Snow Event
Published on 2012-02-07 17:43:00
Tweet With this Winter being as bad as it is, the smallest amount of snow can grab some headlines. Tomorrow's event will be a minor one and it looks to bring some snow the NJ area. After this small event, we begin to track another system that may impact the Weekend. I will discuss both below.. Wednesday's Event: Teleconnections: The three major teleconnections are in decent shape. We have the AO in a negative state at this time which is feeding us the cold arctic air, we have th [..] > read more
Super Bowl Storm
Published on 2012-02-03 18:25:00
Tweet I've been following this storm for over a week now and it has been one heck of a roller-coaster. Now as the storm is in the 48hr range, some predictions are being thrown out there that have little data behind it. I am here to clean up the uncertainty and give you a detailed forecast on what may happen on Sunday. Again we are still 48hrs away so some MINOR adjustments can still happen as we get into the weekend which I will post if needed. First I am going to show you what the models are [..] > read more
Winter Weather Approaching?
Published on 2012-01-31 17:31:00
Tweet There has been a lot of talk lately on a couple storms coming through the New Jersey area at the end of the week and into the weekend. I've been watching the models and watching the talk around the models and there is a lot of uncertainty, wish-casting, and diss-casting. That is too be expected since the last two winters, everything was falling into place perfectly and storms were being predicted weeks in advance due to the perfect pattern setup we had. This year, it is a complete 180. T [..] > read more
Two Storms On The Horizon
Published on 2012-01-29 11:10:00
Tweet I have been doing a lot of updating via the NJWB Facebook Fanpage & Twitter Follow @NJWeatherBlogs. I've been fairly busy and haven't been able to post much on the website but I got a few things to show everyone that maybe coming by the end of the week. I stated awhile back in January that February will be the Month that could save winter and it looks like the beginning of February will be bringing us some chances. First I will go over the teleconnections and then get into what the c [..] > read more
The End of January Forecast
Published on 2012-01-25 11:51:00
Tweet We are nearing the close for January so I decide just to sum up what is left for the rest of January. I also been getting some comments about this weekends storm or lack there of. I will touch on all of this below.. This Week: We have two systems to talk about for this week. The first one looks to be mostly rain with a cold front coming behind it(Typical for this winter, warm air with the precipitation in place followed by cold air after the precip is gone). 12z GFS [..] > read more
4th of July Outlook / 10 Day Extended Forecast
Published on 2011-06-29 13:50:00
Tweet Below will be my Fourth of July forecast and my 10 day extended forecast for July... The start of Fourth of July Weekend will be very nice! Temperatures will start out in the mid 80's and climb up in the mid to lower 90's as we appr > read more
Forecast 6/29 - 7/2
Published on 2011-06-29 12:47:00
Tweet The month of June has been extremely busy for me and I haven't been 100% focused on the website. I will try my best to stay on top of things and update as much as I can but I am not always near the computer. Today I will be giving o > read more
Severe Thunderstorm Watch
Published on 2011-06-24 12:37:00
Tweet NOAA Severe Thunderstorm Watch Issued NOAA Statement: URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 544 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1245 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2011 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENT > read more
Weekend Outlook (6/24 - 6/26)
Published on 2011-06-24 12:14:00
Tweet Been awhile since I've posted. Been busy with other jobs and haven't had a chance to be near the computer or any type of weather information. I have some free time now so I will post a quick forecast for the weekend.. Friday (6/24) 12z N > read more
Weekend Outlook (6/17 - 6/19)
Published on 2011-06-17 10:37:00
Tweet Sorry everyone who has been checking the site for the daily updates, I've been far away from the computer and any kind of weather data over the past week. I had some side jobs to take care of before I could resume my focus on NJ Weather Blogs. > read more
Weekend Outlook 6/10 - 6/13
Published on 2011-06-10 12:47:00
Tweet Yesterday evening was a wild day. Record breaking temperatures across much of New Jersey. Followed by a strong line of thunderstorms that produced high winds and pea sized hail. After that front moved through, the temperatures dropped a little > read more
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Issued / Update On Thunderstorms
Published on 2011-06-09 15:01:00
Tweet NOAA Watch *** SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ISSUED UNTIL 10:00PM EDT *** NOAA Storm Prediction Northern New Jersey has been upgraded to a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms. These storms may produce hail and strong winds. > read more
Evening Thunderstorms
Published on 2011-06-09 07:46:00
Tweet Today is going to be a real scorcher with the heat climbing very close to triple digit numbers. The humidity will also be an issue, the air will be very sticky and feeling like a big sweat box. With all of these factors in place, the chances o > read more
Record Heat
Published on 2011-06-08 18:17:00
Tweet Some counties today in New Jersey have produced RECORD HEAT! See below.. Atlantic City, NJ - Previous Record: 95 Degrees set back in 1999. NEW Record: 97 Degrees Newark, NJ - Previous Record: 97 Degrees set back in 1999. NEW Record: > read more
Heat Warnings & Advisories Issued
Published on 2011-06-07 14:55:00
Tweet Excessive Heat Warnings and Heat Advisory have been posted by the NWS until Thursday June 9th. Reminder to everyone who is working outside to take it easy. Excessive Heat Warning Heat Advisory > read more
Second Heat Wave?
Published on 2011-06-07 11:10:00
Tweet The past few days have been fairly nice and cool with low humidity and seasonal temps in the lower 70's. It was a nice break from last weekend when the hot and humid weather was an abundance. That was officially our first heat wave of the year > read more
Weekend Forecast (6/4 - 6/6)
Published on 2011-06-03 14:33:00
Tweet Sorry for the delay between posts and forecast updates but I've been away from the computer and the models so I haven't been on top of everything. Hopefully everything will get back to normal soon and I can continue to update regularly like b > read more
Tornado Watch & Severe Weather
Published on 2011-06-01 13:11:00
Tweet I've been away from the computer for awhile but I am here to give a quick weather update for today. TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8PM EST NOAA Tornado Watch A strong line of storms are going to heading into our area very soon. Some strong > read more
Beginning of June Outlook
Published on 2011-05-26 14:35:00
Tweet As I stated yesterday, I will be posting my beginning of June Outlook and see what the first 2 weeks of June have in-store for New Jersey. Temperature: NJ Weather Blogs Temp Predictions The first week or so of June looks to be fairly war > read more
Memorial Day Weekend Outlook
Published on 2011-05-25 18:52:00
Sorry for the long delay between post but I finally got my source back to give longer range forecast and better predictions. I've been reviewing them and seeing what the rest of May has in-store and the beginning of June. Below will be my Memorial Da > read more
Severe Weather Later
Published on 2011-05-23 11:32:00
This morning started off with cloud cover and the humidity all ready in the 80% range making a prime element of some severe weather. The only thing missing is the sun, heating things up and making the atmosphere unstable and ready for severe storms. > read more
Nice Weather Arrives
Published on 2011-05-21 15:14:00
The week of wet weather has come to an end but that doesn't mean that chances of a stray thunderstorm is not in the area. 12z HiDef NAM This is the HiDef NAM showing around 5pm today. Some stray maybe even some severe thunderstorms are being forme > read more
Almost Over
Published on 2011-05-20 08:10:00
Been a few days since I last posted something, I've had some issues with one of my sources for my weather data that I can no longer access so I was trying to work that issue out and it seems for the moment I am stuck with the basics until I can find > read more
The Scattered Showers / Thunderstorms Continue
Published on 2011-05-16 12:34:00
Anyone who was up early this morning noticed some pretty dense fog throughout the area. All the moisture from last night storms helped form that dense fog this morning. The fog has now generally lifted and breaking away to mostly cloudy skies for the > read more