The only sure things in life are death and taxes; so the talk that Andrew Luck is the next sure thing is not a given. I rather people stick to saying he’s the most ready quarterback out of college. I don’t think it is certain yet who the Indianapolis Colts will take with the first overall pick in the NFL Draft, but I do think it is certain that the Colts will take either Luck or Baylor QB Robert Griffin.
From what I have seen of the two players I believe RG3 has a higher upside. I believe he has the potential to have a greater NFL career than Luck. I think the comparisons between RG3 and Carolina Panthers’ QB Cam Newton are fair. Both players can make plays with their arms or their legs. Neither quarterback has to scramble to beat a defense, but both players have the luxury to be able to beat you by scrambling if they need to. Unlike Michael Vick at the beginning of his career when he would run if the first option wasn’t there.
I would be lying if I said that I expected Newton to have the type of rookie season he had; I think anyone would be lying if they said they expected that. Also, it would be unfair for anyone to expect RG3 to have the same type of season or better than Newton’s rookie season. I expect both quarterbacks to have long and successful careers. Not that I think Luck is a sure bust or anything like that. I could see Luck having a Phillip Rivers’ type of career, one which has been a solid career to say the least. No Super Bowl title for Rivers yet but his window of opportunity is far from closed.
I really want to see RG3 succeed and have a great NFL career. I must admit that I want the Colts to draft him over Luck with the first overall pick because I do not want to see RG3 in a Washington Redskins’uniform. I believe this 2012 draft is similar to the 1998 NFL Draft in that the first pick will be the hard choice and the second pick will be the easiest. Whichever quarterback the Colts take I think the Skins take the other with the second pick. Obviously with hind sight no one would take Ryan Leaf in the 1998 draft if they could re-do the draft, but heading into that draft that is how people saw it.
If a team misses with who they believe to be their franchise quarterback for the future, that team could set the franchise behind five or 10 years. When a quarterback is drafted in the first round, especially in the top 10, he is expected to win a Super Bowl for that franchise. There is a long list of quarterbacks who failed to deliver on those expectations, but I believe taking either Luck or RG3 is the right choice for both the Colts and Skins.